Current forecast
Illustration · generated with AI, not photographed
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 54 seats, the opposition bloc with 52 and the Arab parties with 14, from 52, 51 and 13. Two of the last six polls give The Reservists-New Economic Party 4 seats, and it is back under the half at which the table gives a list seats.
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 52 seats, the opposition bloc with 51 and the Arab parties with 13, from 54, 52 and 14. Four of six polls of 20 to 22 October give The Reservists-New Economic Party 4 seats, and it is back above the half at which the table gives a list seats.
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 54 seats, the opposition bloc with 52 and the Arab parties with 14, from 52, 51 and 13. Eight polls of 19 to 21 October took The Reservists-New Economic Party under the half at which the table gives a list seats, and its 4 seats are now shared among the three blocs.
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 52 seats, the opposition bloc with 51 and the Arab parties with 13, from 53, 50 and 13. Benny Gantz took Blue and White out of the race on 19 October, so the forecast no longer gives it seats, and the seat between the two large blocs went the other way in the rounding, by two thousandths of a seat.
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 53 seats, the opposition bloc with 50 and the Arab parties with 13, from 52, 51 and 13. Three polls of 18 October moved a seat between the two large blocs in the rounding, by less than three hundredths of a seat, and took Amcha Israel under the half at which the table gives a list seats.
Method
The page still says the Netanyahu bloc is slightly ahead, now with about 52 seats, the opposition bloc with 51 and the Arab parties with 13, from 53, 51 and 12. One poll of 14 and 15 October moved the bloc averages by less than a fifth of a seat, and the seat went to the Arab parties in the rounding, by about two thousandths of a seat.